First off, if you didn’t catch yesterday’s full preview blog, I’d recommend going back and reading that first. Once you’ve done that, please come back.

Alright, hello. We’re just half a day away from the US Open officially kicking off at Shinnecock Hills; one of the most anticipated US Open venues in years.

After crunching the numbers (recent form, form in majors, top-tens, wins, & stat rankings) I have compiled my official list of US Open picks for this: the 118th edition of America’s Open.

So, without further ado, here is my top-five, followed by my research in the form of a filled out spreadsheet. Much time was spent on said sheet; much time.

Top-5 picks to win the US Open

#5 -Justin Thomas
Last five starts: 8th, 11th, 21st, 17th, 2nd
Top-10’s this season: 5
Stat Rank: 2nd

#4 – Patrick Reed
Finishes in last four majors: 1st, 2nd, MC, 13th
Top-10’s this season: 6
Stats Rank: 9th

#3 – Jason Day
Last five starts: 44th, 5th, 1st, 20th, 22nd
Recent SG: 27.05
Wins this season: 2
Finishes in majors since ’16 US Open: 8th, 22nd, 2nd, 22nd, MC, 27th, 9th, 20th


#2 – Justin Rose
Last five starts: 6th, 1st, 23rd, 12th, 52nd
Recent SG: 34
Top-10’s this season: 10
Finishes in majors since ’16 US Open: MC, 22nd, 22nd, 2nd, MC, 54th, MC, 12th


#1 – Dustin Johnson
Last five starts: 1st, 8th, 17th, 16th, 10th
Recent SG: 36.22
Top-10’s this season: 8
Wins this season: 2
Finishes in majors since ’16 US Open: 1st, 9th, MC, MC, 54th, 13th, 10th
Stat Rank: 1st


Top long shot picks to compete: Paul Casey, Bryson DeChambeau & Emiliano Grillo

And the rest of the guys in the field I deemed worthy of a shot in the spreadsheet. A spot on the spreadsheet means I think he’s got a chance to win.

My rankings sheet — list of guys I think can win


That’s all, folks. Enjoy the Open!

And check out this week’s pod if you haven’t:


Leave your thoughts here!